COP vs DVN: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

COP and DVN are similarly sized, but DVN trades noticeably cheaper on forward earnings (8.62x vs 13.38x): the market is paying up for COP's profile and pricing DVN more conservatively, or for faster growth. Which you prefer comes down to the drivers you believe, and whether adding either over-concentrates what you already own.

COP vs DVN: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricCOPDVNWhat it tells you
Forward P/E13.388.62Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E20.4212.57Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.120.43Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range69% of range64% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book2.271.82How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: DVN is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how COP and DVN affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. COP and DVN share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined COP and DVN exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does ConocoPhillips (COP) do?

ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is an exploration and production (E&P) company focused exclusively on the upstream segment of the oil and gas industry. It finds, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids from a globally diversified asset base that includes U.S. Lower 48 shale plays (Permian, Eagle Ford, Bakken), Alaska (including the Willow development project), Canadian oil sands at Surmont, operations in Norway and Qatar, and equity stakes in LNG projects including Australia Pacific LNG and the Port Arthur LNG facility on the U.S. Gulf Coast. The company makes money by selling the hydrocarbons it produces at prevailing market prices, with profitability driven primarily by realized commodity prices, production volumes, and its cost-of-supply discipline. It does not operate refineries or fuel retail networks, giving it a focused capital structure but also direct exposure to commodity price swings.

Full COP guide

What does Devon Energy (DVN) do?

Devon Energy is a large US independent exploration and production company that finds and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Its portfolio is anchored in the Delaware Basin (part of the Permian) and includes positions in the Anadarko Basin, Eagle Ford, Williston, and other onshore US plays. As a producer that sells raw commodities into global markets, Devon is largely a price-taker: its revenue, margins, and shareholder payouts are driven mainly by oil and gas prices and by how efficiently it can drill and complete wells, rather than by any single product or brand.

Full DVN guide

COP vs DVN: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • COP drivers: Marathon Oil Integration and Scale; Willow Project and Long-Cycle Growth.
  • DVN drivers: Oil and gas prices drive the story; Coterra merger and Permian scale.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: COP's revenues and free cash flow are highly sensitive to crude oil and natural gas prices, and any sustained commodity price decline would directly erode earnings and the company's ability to fund its capital-return targets. For DVN, the dominant risk is commodity price cyclicality: with revenue tied to oil and gas prices, a global slowdown, an OPEC+ supply shift, or weak natural gas prices can compress cash flow and shrink the variable dividend and buybacks quickly.

COP or DVN: which should you pick?

Pick COP if you believe its drivers more; DVN if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the COP and DVN guides.

COP vs DVN: the full fundamentals

COP. COP's trailing P/E of roughly 19x sits approximately 59 percent above its own 10-year median of around 12x and modestly above the oil and gas industry average of roughly 16x, suggesting the market is pricing in meaningful growth from Willow, LNG, and post-Marathon synergies. Free cash flow of roughly $5.85 billion TTM reflects elevated capital expenditures during the current heavy-investment cycle, and management projects a material step-up in free cash flow as long-cycle projects come online toward 2029. The dividend yield near 3.1 percent, combined with active buybacks, provides a tangible total-return component that partially compensates holders during periods of softer commodity prices.

DVN. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting, especially since the Coterra merger recently reshaped the combined company's scale. For a commodity producer, a low P/E can mislead because it may reflect high-price-cycle earnings that will not repeat if oil and gas prices fall. Free cash flow, breakeven cost per barrel, and the sustainability of the variable dividend are more useful lenses than a trailing earnings multiple.

Headline figures (approximate, June 27, 2026): COP shows revenue (ttm, ~march 2026) ~$60.5 billion, net income (ttm) ~$7.3 billion, eps (ttm, dec 2025) ~$6.34, p/e ratio (ttm) ~19x; DVN shows 2026 production guidance roughly 1.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (combined), including ~500,000 barrels of oil per day, 2026 capital spending ~$4.9 billion, with more than 60% directed to the Permian and roughly 31 rigs, shareholder returns framework targets returning up to ~70% of free cash flow via dividends and buybacks, coterra merger completed May 7, 2026; combined enterprise value reported around $58 billion.

The bottom line: COP vs DVN

COP and DVN are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined COP and DVN exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how COP or DVN fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in ConocoPhillips with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how COP fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between COP and DVN?

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ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is an exploration and production (E&P) company focused exclusively on the upstream segment of the oil and gas industry. Devon Energy is a large US independent exploration and production company that finds and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is COP or DVN the better stock?

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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, COP or DVN?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), COP trades at 13.38x and DVN at 8.62x, so DVN is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both COP and DVN?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of COP vs DVN?

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COP: COP's revenues and free cash flow are highly sensitive to crude oil and natural gas prices, and any sustained commodity price decline would directly erode earnings and the company's ability to fund its capital-return targets. The Willow project and LNG infrastructure carry significant construction and cost execution risk over a multi-year horizon, with capital outlays of roughly $12 billion guided for 2026 alone. Geopolitical disruptions in production regions including Qatar and Norway, along with energy transition policy shifts that suppress long-term hydrocarbon demand, represent structural risks that compound the near-term commodity exposure. At a trailing P/E near 19x, COP trades above its own 10-year median of roughly 12x and above the oil and gas industry average, leaving limited valuation cushion if earnings disappoint. DVN: The dominant risk is commodity price cyclicality: with revenue tied to oil and gas prices, a global slowdown, an OPEC+ supply shift, or weak natural gas prices can compress cash flow and shrink the variable dividend and buybacks quickly. The Coterra merger adds integration and execution risk, and a large deal can distract management or fail to deliver expected synergies if operations do not mesh. Shale production also declines quickly, so Devon must keep reinvesting simply to hold output flat, and rising service and labor costs can erode margins. Regulatory and policy risk around drilling permits, methane rules, and taxes is real, as is the longer-term energy-transition question of demand for hydrocarbons. Weather, well performance, and takeaway constraints add operational variability.

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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell COP or DVN; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    COP vs DVN: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App