HD vs SITE: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated September 2026
Short answer
HD is the larger of the two ($319.03B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (19.94x forward earnings, beta 0.96). SITE is the smaller challenger ($4.26B), priced similarly on forward earnings (18.95x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
HD vs SITE: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of September 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | HD | SITE | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $319.03B | $4.26B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 19.94 | 18.95 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 22.38 | 27.00 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.96 | 1.34 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 22% of range | 9% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 19.21 | 2.53 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how HD and SITE affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. HD and SITE share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined HD and SITE exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does The Home Depot (HD) do?
The Home Depot, Inc. is the world's largest home improvement retailer, operating approximately 2,300 stores across the United States, Canada, and other locations in North America. The company sells building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden supplies, and provides installation and tool-rental services to two main customer groups: do-it-yourself homeowners (DIY) and professional contractors (Pros). Revenue is generated almost entirely through retail store sales and, increasingly, through digital channels (online sales reached 15.9% of total revenue in fiscal 2025) and through its specialty trade distribution arm, SRS Distribution, which serves Pros directly with roofing, landscaping, pool supplies, and now drywall and steel framing products following the September 2025 acquisition of GMS Inc. The company earns a gross margin of roughly 33% and an operating margin in the low-to-mid teens, with strong free cash flow that funds a steadily growing dividend (156 consecutive quarterly payments as of early 2026) and periodic share repurchases.
What does SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) do?
SiteOne Landscape Supply is the largest and only national full-product-line wholesale distributor of landscape supplies in the United States, serving professional landscapers, irrigation contractors, and maintenance crews rather than do-it-yourself homeowners. It sells irrigation gear, fertilizer, seed and control products, nursery stock, hardscapes, outdoor lighting, drainage, and other supplies through a dense network of roughly ~690 branches carrying about ~170,000 SKUs. The model pairs local inventory and technical service with centralized buying and pricing, which is meant to drive same-store sales and steadily wider gross margins as the company gains scale in a fragmented market it estimates at about ~$25 billion, where it holds roughly ~18% share.
HD vs SITE: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- HD drivers: Pro contractor ecosystem buildout; Pent-up housing demand and a potential mortgage rate cycle turn.
- SITE drivers: Acquisition-driven consolidation; Gross margin and pricing initiatives.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The most direct risk is a prolonged freeze in the US housing market: low inventory, elevated mortgage rates, and high home prices have kept transaction volumes near multi-decade lows, directly suppressing demand for the large remodeling projects that drive Home Depot's highest-ticket sales. For SITE, the central risk is end-market cyclicality: SiteOne's sales depend on construction and landscaping activity that softens when interest rates are high or housing slows, as the roughly ~1% organic daily sales decline in the first quarter of 2026 illustrated.
HD or SITE: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick HD if you believe its drivers more; SITE if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the HD and SITE guides.
HD vs SITE: the full fundamentals
HD. Home Depot grew total revenue 3.2% in fiscal 2025, but most of that growth came from the SRS and GMS acquisitions rather than organic comparable-store performance, which was essentially flat at +0.3%. Profitability softened modestly as acquisition-related costs, higher debt service, and integration expenses weighed on margins and pushed ROIC down from 31.3% to approximately 25.7%. The stock's trailing P/E of roughly 23x sits near its 10-year historical average and above the peer group, reflecting investor confidence in the long-term Pro strategy but leaving limited cushion if the housing market remains depressed longer than expected.
SITE. Figures are approximate and tied to the asOf date; verify live numbers before acting. SiteOne trades at a premium distribution multiple (a trailing P/E in the low ~30s and no dividend), which reflects its category leadership and roll-up growth but also prices in continued margin gains and acquisitions. Because the first quarter is seasonally a loss for a landscaping distributor, full-year figures and adjusted EBITDA are more meaningful gauges of the business than any single quarter.
Headline figures (approximate, 2026-06-27 (fiscal 2025 results as reported February 24, 2026; P/E as of June 9, 2026)): HD shows revenue (fiscal 2025, ended feb 1, 2026) ~$164.7 billion, net earnings (fiscal 2025) ~$14.2 billion, diluted eps (fiscal 2025) $14.23 (adjusted: $14.69), gross margin (fiscal 2026 guidance) ~33.1%; SITE shows revenue (ttm) ~$4.7 billion (FY2025 net sales up ~4%), q1 2026 net sales ~$940 million (roughly flat year over year), q1 2026 net loss ~$27 million (a seasonal first-quarter loss, EPS ~-$0.60), fy2025 net income ~$152 million (up ~23% year over year).
The bottom line: HD vs SITE
HD and SITE are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined HD and SITE exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how HD or SITE fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in The Home Depot with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how HD fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between HD and SITE?
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The Home Depot, Inc. SiteOne Landscape Supply is the largest and only national full-product-line wholesale distributor of landscape supplies in the United States, serving professional landscapers, irrigation contractors, and maintenance crews rather than do-it-yourself homeowners. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is HD or SITE the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. HD is the larger incumbent; SITE is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, HD or SITE?
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On forward P/E (as of September 2026), HD trades at 19.94x and SITE at 18.95x, so SITE is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both HD and SITE?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of HD vs SITE?
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HD: The most direct risk is a prolonged freeze in the US housing market: low inventory, elevated mortgage rates, and high home prices have kept transaction volumes near multi-decade lows, directly suppressing demand for the large remodeling projects that drive Home Depot's highest-ticket sales. Tariffs on imported goods (a significant portion of Home Depot's product mix is sourced internationally) could compress margins or require price increases that dampen consumer demand, even as management has worked to diversify its supply chain. The SRS and GMS acquisitions added substantial long-term debt to the balance sheet and pushed ROIC down to approximately 25.7% from 31.3%, and integration execution risk remains elevated while buybacks are paused. Finally, the stock trades at a P/E of roughly 23x, a premium to the broader retail industry, which leaves limited margin for error if earnings guidance is revised lower. SITE: The central risk is end-market cyclicality: SiteOne's sales depend on construction and landscaping activity that softens when interest rates are high or housing slows, as the roughly ~1% organic daily sales decline in the first quarter of 2026 illustrated. Weather is a real swing factor because a wet spring or drought can shift demand across quarters, and the first quarter is structurally a seasonal loss. Commodity-linked categories such as PVC pipe, fertilizer, and grass seed introduce price deflation risk that can pressure sales dollars even when volumes hold. The acquisition strategy adds integration and overpayment risk, and competition is intensifying now that Heritage Landscape Supply Group, owned by SRS Distribution and ultimately by The Home Depot, is a well-funded number-two consolidator. Finally, a full valuation (a trailing P/E in the low ~30s with no dividend) leaves little room for disappointment if margin or acquisition execution stumbles.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell HD or SITE; figures are approximate and dated (as of September 2026). Verify current data before investing.