HRI vs SUNB: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

SUNB is the larger of the two ($31.74B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (16.39x forward earnings, beta 1.65). HRI is the smaller challenger ($5.02B), priced similarly on forward earnings (14.85x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

HRI vs SUNB: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricHRISUNBWhat it tells you
Market cap$5.02B$31.74BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E14.8516.39Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E88.3224.58Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta1.881.65Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range62% of range64% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book2.644.29How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how HRI and SUNB affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. HRI and SUNB share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined HRI and SUNB exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Herc Holdings (HRI) do?

Herc Holdings rents out aerial lifts, earthmoving and material-handling equipment, trucks, compressors, generators and related gear to construction, industrial, infrastructure and event customers across North America, and it also sells used fleet and contractor supplies plus repair, safety-training and equipment-management services. It is the third-largest equipment-rental company in the US behind United Rentals and Ashtead's Sunbelt Rentals, and it competes as a broad-line renter with growing specialty and national-account exposure. The model is capital-intensive: Herc buys fleet, rents it on high day-rates, and lives on utilization, rate, and how efficiently it recycles aging equipment into the used market.

Full HRI guide

What does Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB) do?

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings rents tools, machinery and engineered equipment to construction crews, industrial operators, film sets, utilities and emergency responders. Three reporting segments carry the business: North America General Tool at ~58% of fiscal 2026 revenue, North America Specialty at ~33%, and the United Kingdom at ~9%. The fleet stood at ~$19.2 billion of original cost across ~1,611 locations at the April 30, 2026 year end, staffed by roughly ~25,700 employees. Revenue for that year reached ~$11.15 billion, up ~3.4%, with rental revenue of ~$10.32 billion and adjusted EBITDA of ~$4.68 billion, a margin near ~41.9%.

Full SUNB guide

HRI vs SUNB: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • HRI drivers: H&E integration and synergies; Mega-project and infrastructure demand.
  • SUNB drivers: Specialty rental is the growth engine; Large projects and non-discretionary demand.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: HRI is cyclical and capital-intensive, so a downturn in non-residential construction or industrial activity can compress utilization, rates and residual values quickly, and high operating leverage amplifies the hit. For SUNB, equipment rental tracks non-residential construction, so a slowdown in starts, higher financing costs for contractors or a pause in mega-project awards would show up quickly in utilization and rental rates.

HRI or SUNB: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick HRI if you believe its drivers more; SUNB if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the HRI and SUNB guides.

HRI vs SUNB: the full fundamentals

HRI. Herc affirmed 2026 guidance for equipment-rental revenue of roughly $4.275B to $4.4B and adjusted EBITDA of about $2.0B to $2.1B after a Q1 that beat on adjusted EPS while posting a GAAP net loss on acquisition and interest costs. The stock trades near a mid-single-digit-billion market cap, well below United Rentals, reflecting its number-three position and elevated post-deal leverage. Valuation multiples are best read on EBITDA and free cash flow rather than reported EPS given the acquisition noise.

SUNB. Reporting is in US dollars on an April 30 fiscal year end, so the fiscal 2026 figures above cover the twelve months to April 30, 2026 and include only two months of NYSE trading. Adding net debt to market value puts enterprise value near ~$39 billion, or roughly ~8.4 times fiscal 2026 adjusted EBITDA, a multiple that sits closer to the industrial-cyclical range than to a compounder rating. Shares traded around ~$78 in late August 2026 within a 52-week range of ~$60 to ~$87, and the ~$1.13 annual dividend works out to a yield near ~1.5%.

Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): HRI shows revenue (ttm) ~$4.2B, q1 2026 total revenue ~$1.14B (+32% YoY), fy2026 adj. ebitda guidance ~$2.0B to $2.1B, market cap ~$5B; SUNB shows revenue (fy2026, ended april 30, 2026) ~$11.15B, up ~3.4%, rental revenue / adjusted ebitda ~$10.32B / ~$4.68B (~41.9% margin), net income and eps ~$1.33B net income, ~$3.15 trailing GAAP EPS, ~$3.72 adjusted EPS, market cap and p/e ~$31.8B at ~$78 per share, ~24x trailing earnings.

The bottom line: HRI vs SUNB

HRI and SUNB are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined HRI and SUNB exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how HRI or SUNB fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Herc Holdings with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how HRI fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between HRI and SUNB?

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Herc Holdings rents out aerial lifts, earthmoving and material-handling equipment, trucks, compressors, generators and related gear to construction, industrial, infrastructure and event customers across North America, and it also sells used fleet and contractor supplies plus repair, safety-training and equipment-management services. Sunbelt Rentals Holdings rents tools, machinery and engineered equipment to construction crews, industrial operators, film sets, utilities and emergency responders. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is HRI or SUNB the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. SUNB is the larger incumbent; HRI is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, HRI or SUNB?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), HRI trades at 14.85x and SUNB at 16.39x, so HRI is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both HRI and SUNB?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of HRI vs SUNB?

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HRI: HRI is cyclical and capital-intensive, so a downturn in non-residential construction or industrial activity can compress utilization, rates and residual values quickly, and high operating leverage amplifies the hit. Net leverage near 3.8x to 4.0x after the H&E deal, plus roughly doubled interest expense, leaves less cushion and makes deleveraging execution critical; higher-for-longer rates raise both interest cost and the cost of fleet capex. Integration risk is real: the promised $300M of synergies and margin gains may arrive slower than planned. The company posted a GAAP net loss in Q1 2026 (driven partly by acquisition and interest costs) even as adjusted results beat. It is also the smaller number-three competitor against far larger United Rentals and Sunbelt, and mega-project concentration means a pause in that pipeline would matter. SUNB: Equipment rental tracks non-residential construction, so a slowdown in starts, higher financing costs for contractors or a pause in mega-project awards would show up quickly in utilization and rental rates. Fiscal 2026 net income fell ~14.7% to ~$1.33 billion even as revenue rose, a reminder that rate pressure and depreciation can compress earnings while the top line grows. Used-equipment resale prices set the residual value of a ~$19.2 billion fleet, and weak secondary markets both reduce disposal proceeds and signal industry oversupply. Net debt of ~$7.55 billion is manageable at current cash flow but leaves less room if demand and rates move the wrong way together. A federal antitrust class action filed in 2025 names Sunbelt alongside United Rentals, Herc, H&E and Sunstate, alleging that rental-rate benchmarking data from Rouse Services facilitated coordinated pricing, and the case remains unresolved. Integration of the Reliant modular business, continued softness in the UK segment and the operating complexity of a redomiciled group are smaller but live concerns.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell HRI or SUNB; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    HRI vs SUNB: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App