IT vs PATH: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated October 2026

Short answer

IT is the larger of the two ($12.97B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (12.53x forward earnings, beta 0.98). PATH is the smaller challenger ($6.70B), priced similarly on forward earnings (13.95x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

IT vs PATH: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricITPATHWhat it tells you
Market cap$12.97B$6.70BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E12.5313.95Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E18.5719.18Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.981.01Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range59% of range34% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.

Before you buy: how IT and PATH affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. IT and PATH share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined IT and PATH exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Gartner (IT) do?

Gartner, Inc. is the world's largest independent technology research and advisory firm, selling syndicated research, analyst access, benchmarking, and advisory relationships to IT, finance, HR, supply-chain, and other corporate leaders. It operates through three segments: Business and Technology Insights (formerly Research), which is nearly 100% subscription-based and is the profit engine; Conferences, the in-person events business that ran 53 conferences with over 83,000 attendees in 2025; and Consulting, a smaller project-based advisory arm. The economics are attractive because Insights carries high gross margins, high renewal rates, and predictable recurring revenue tied to contract value (the annualized value of subscription contracts), which management watches as the core growth metric. Its forecasts still move markets: in mid-October 2026 a Gartner warning that most independent AI cloud providers would not survive sent CoreWeave, Nebius and IREN shares lower.

Full IT guide

What does UiPath (PATH) do?

UiPath builds and sells an integrated enterprise automation platform that combines traditional robotic process automation (RPA) with AI-powered capabilities including agentic automation, process orchestration, intelligent document processing, and governance tooling. Its core product, the UiPath Platform, enables AI agents, software robots, and human workers to collaborate in coordinated workflows across industries including financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, retail, and the public sector. The company makes money primarily through subscription and cloud software licenses, which generate high gross margins in the 83-85 percent range, supplemented by professional services revenue. ARR, the annualized value of active subscription contracts, is its primary business-health metric and stood at $1.853 billion as of January 31, 2026.

Full PATH guide

IT vs PATH: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • IT drivers: Subscription research and contract value; Cash generation and buybacks.
  • PATH drivers: Agentic Automation as the Next Growth Layer; Re-accelerating Revenue Growth with a Maturing Margin Profile.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The dominant risk is generative AI disintermediation: if free or cheaper AI tools can approximate the research and advice clients pay Gartner for, subscription demand and pricing power could erode, which is the primary reason the stock derated so sharply in 2026. For PATH, the central bear case is platform displacement: generative AI and agentic tools embedded into Microsoft 365, ServiceNow, and cloud hyperscaler platforms could allow enterprises to automate complex workflows without a dedicated RPA layer, gradually eroding UiPath's core value proposition.

IT or PATH: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick IT if you believe its drivers more; PATH if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the IT and PATH guides.

IT vs PATH: the full fundamentals

IT. At about $206 on October 16, 2026, Gartner trades near 19 times trailing and 13 times forward earnings and about 2 times sales, far below the 30-plus multiples it carried for years but well above its summer low near $124. The discount reflects fear that AI erodes the research franchise plus flat revenue, not a collapse in profits, since EPS has beaten consensus four quarters running. The analyst consensus is a hold with a mean target of about $190, below the current price after the rebound.

PATH. UiPath trades near 19x trailing and 14x forward earnings and about 4x sales in October 2026, a discount to most software peers that reflects uncertainty over whether agentic AI tailwinds turn into sustained double-digit ARR growth. Trailing net income is flattered relative to operating profit (operating margin is about 9 percent), so free cash flow of roughly $474 million is the steadier gauge of the business. Consensus expects about 9 percent revenue growth this fiscal year and 17 percent next, and whether that acceleration shows up is what would close or widen the valuation gap.

Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): IT shows revenue (ttm) ~$6.46B, q2 2026 revenue growth ~-0.6% YoY (~$1.68B), gross / operating margin ~70% / ~23%, net income (ttm) ~$775M (EPS ~$11.06); PATH shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.72 billion, latest quarter (q2 fy2027, ended jul 31, 2026) Revenue ~$410 million, up ~13%; non-GAAP EPS $0.15 vs $0.15 expected, arr (as of jan 31, 2026) ~$1.85 billion, up 11%, gross margin (ttm) ~83%.

The bottom line: IT vs PATH

IT and PATH are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined IT and PATH exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how IT or PATH fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Gartner with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how IT fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between IT and PATH?

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Gartner, Inc. UiPath builds and sells an integrated enterprise automation platform that combines traditional robotic process automation (RPA) with AI-powered capabilities including agentic automation, process orchestration, intelligent document processing, and governance tooling. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is IT or PATH the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. IT is the larger incumbent; PATH is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, IT or PATH?

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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), IT trades at 12.53x and PATH at 13.95x, so IT is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both IT and PATH?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of IT vs PATH?

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IT: The dominant risk is generative AI disintermediation: if free or cheaper AI tools can approximate the research and advice clients pay Gartner for, subscription demand and pricing power could erode, which is the primary reason the stock derated so sharply in 2026. Contract-value growth has slowed in a tougher selling environment, total revenue has stalled near $6.5 billion, and weakness in the US Federal business tied to government spending and policy shifts has pressured a meaningful client base. The Consulting segment is project-based and cyclical, falling about 15% year over year in the first quarter of 2026 with a declining backlog. Leadership turnover is a smaller watch item: Chief Legal Officer Thomas Kim stepped down on October 16, 2026 to take another role. The balance sheet carries about $3.3 billion of debt against $1.5 billion of cash. Broader macroeconomic softness, tariffs, and cautious corporate IT budgets can slow new bookings and renewals, and after a 53% three-month rebound, sentiment can swing hard on any change in growth expectations. PATH: The central bear case is platform displacement: generative AI and agentic tools embedded into Microsoft 365, ServiceNow, and cloud hyperscaler platforms could allow enterprises to automate complex workflows without a dedicated RPA layer, gradually eroding UiPath's core value proposition. Competition from Automation Anywhere, Blue Prism, and emerging agentic AI startups intensifies pricing pressure and increases customer acquisition costs. UiPath's revenue growth has been inconsistent historically, and approximately 24 percent of its outstanding shares are sold short, a sign of meaningful market skepticism about whether the agentic pivot will translate into durable ARR acceleration. Growth also cooled in Q2 FY2027 to about 13 percent from 17 percent in the prior quarter, and EPS only matched estimates. Insider selling, including by founder Daniel Dines, has also weighed on investor sentiment.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell IT or PATH; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.