KGS vs USAC: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

KGS is the larger of the two ($5.86B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (18.83x forward earnings, beta 0.91). USAC is the smaller challenger ($3.88B), cheaper on forward earnings (16.08x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

KGS vs USAC: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricKGSUSACWhat it tells you
Market cap$5.86B$3.88BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E18.8316.08Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E76.3924.78Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.910.19Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range59% of range56% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book4.2813.52How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: USAC is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how KGS and USAC affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. KGS and USAC share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined KGS and USAC exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Kodiak Gas Services (KGS) do?

Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. owns and operates contract compression infrastructure for oil and gas producers and midstream operators, primarily in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford. Customers pay monthly fees for Kodiak to install, run, and maintain large-horsepower compression packages that push associated natural gas through gathering systems, so revenue tracks installed horsepower under contract rather than the commodity price directly. The 2024 all-equity acquisition of CSI Compressco (~$854 million) created the industry's largest fleet and added gas treating, cooling, and aftermarket services, and the fleet stood at ~4.39 million revenue-generating horsepower at ~98% utilization in Q1 2026.

Full KGS guide

What does USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) do?

USA Compression Partners owns a fleet of natural gas compression packages and rents them to producers, processors, gatherers, and pipeline operators under fixed monthly fee contracts. The work is measured in horsepower, and the partnership focuses on the large midstream end of it rather than small wellhead units. At June 30, 2026 the fleet stood at ~4.95 million horsepower, of which ~4.46 million was revenue-generating across ~6,508 compression units, at average utilization of ~92.0%. It reports as a single segment. Headquarters is in Dallas, and USAC Management had ~885 full-time employees at the end of 2025, with another ~594 added through the January 2026 purchase of J-W Power Company. Energy Transfer owns 100% of the general partner and ~46.1 million common units, roughly a ~32% limited partner interest, and supplies shared back-office staff.

Full USAC guide

KGS vs USAC: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • KGS drivers: Distributed power for data centers; Contracted compression as the cash engine.
  • USAC drivers: Contracted horsepower and pricing; J-W Power integration.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The power expansion is capital intensive and unproven at scale for Kodiak: growth capex is guided at ~$645 million to ~$775 million for 2026, and turbine and engine delivery slots stretch into 2029, so contracted megawatts and actual cash flow can arrive years apart. For USAC, utilization fell to ~92.0% from ~94.4% a year earlier while fleet horsepower grew ~28.3%, which is what adding capacity faster than it gets contracted looks like.

KGS or USAC: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick KGS if you believe its drivers more; USAC if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the KGS and USAC guides.

KGS vs USAC: the full fundamentals

KGS. The headline P/E is misleading in both directions: net income of ~$66 million on ~$1.32 billion of revenue reflects heavy depreciation on a compression fleet and interest on acquisition debt, while adjusted EBITDA of ~$820 million to ~$860 million and discretionary cash flow of ~$520 million to ~$570 million are the numbers management and most analysts anchor on. Fleet utilization at ~98% and a ~70.6% compression gross margin show the base business running near capacity. Q2 2026 results are due August 6, 2026, and the market's focus is on power contract announcements rather than the compression line.

USAC. At roughly ~$26.76 per unit, enterprise value lands near ~$6.8 billion, or about ~8.7x the midpoint of guided 2026 Adjusted EBITDA. The trailing P/E near ~25x reads high for an asset-heavy business because depreciation of ~$89.1 million a quarter suppresses net income; guided Distributable Cash Flow of ~$480 million to ~$510 million is closer to ~$3.30 to ~$3.50 per unit, putting the units near ~7.6x to ~8.1x that measure.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): KGS shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.32B, q1 2026 revenue ~$346M (+5% YoY), q1 2026 adjusted ebitda ~$190M (~55% margin), 2026 adjusted ebitda guidance ~$820M-$860M; USAC shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.18B, q2 2026 revenue ~$342.1M (+~37% YoY), q2 2026 adjusted ebitda ~$193.2M (~56.5% margin), 2026 adjusted ebitda guidance ~$770M to ~$800M.

The bottom line: KGS vs USAC

KGS and USAC are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined KGS and USAC exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how KGS or USAC fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Kodiak Gas Services with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how KGS fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between KGS and USAC?

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Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. USA Compression Partners owns a fleet of natural gas compression packages and rents them to producers, processors, gatherers, and pipeline operators under fixed monthly fee contracts. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is KGS or USAC the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. KGS is the larger incumbent; USAC is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, KGS or USAC?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), KGS trades at 18.83x and USAC at 16.08x, so USAC is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both KGS and USAC?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of KGS vs USAC?

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KGS: The power expansion is capital intensive and unproven at scale for Kodiak: growth capex is guided at ~$645 million to ~$775 million for 2026, and turbine and engine delivery slots stretch into 2029, so contracted megawatts and actual cash flow can arrive years apart. Leverage near 3.6x leaves less cushion than the balance sheet had before the buildout, and a reported P/E near 77 reflects how little of the ~55% adjusted EBITDA margin survives depreciation and interest. Data center power demand is currently a bidding war, and hyperscalers may prefer grid interconnects, utility contracts, or rival providers as those options free up. The compression base remains tied to Permian and Eagle Ford activity, so a sustained oil price decline would eventually slow horsepower additions even though existing contracts are sticky. The shares have roughly doubled off their 52-week low near ~$30, which means expectations for the power story are already embedded in the price. USAC: Utilization fell to ~92.0% from ~94.4% a year earlier while fleet horsepower grew ~28.3%, which is what adding capacity faster than it gets contracted looks like. Net long-term debt of ~$2.94 billion sits at roughly ~3.7x the midpoint of guided 2026 Adjusted EBITDA, including ~$1.21 billion drawn on a floating-rate revolver, ~$1.00 billion of 7.125% notes due 2029, and ~$750.0 million of 6.250% notes due 2033, so quarterly interest expense of ~$49.3 million is a standing claim on cash ahead of the distribution. Demand for compression tracks natural gas and crude production, and a drilling slowdown shows up first as idle horsepower and then as renegotiated rates. Extended equipment lead times support pricing on existing fleets while delaying revenue from units already ordered. The partnership also carries ~$196.5 million of deferred income taxes from acquired corporate subsidiaries, and Texas imposes an entity-level margin tax, so some tax is paid at the partnership level.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell KGS or USAC; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    KGS vs USAC: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App