MUSA vs WMT: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

WMT is the larger of the two ($884.94B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (33.89x forward earnings, beta 0.60). MUSA is the smaller challenger ($11.23B), cheaper on forward earnings (20.14x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

MUSA vs WMT: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricMUSAWMTWhat it tells you
Market cap$11.23B$884.94BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E20.1433.89Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E21.1439.15Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.290.60Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range90% of range40% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book17.049.39How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Reading it: MUSA is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.

Before you buy: how MUSA and WMT affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. MUSA and WMT share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined MUSA and WMT exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Murphy USA (MUSA) do?

Murphy USA operates around 1,803 stores as of March 2026, split between roughly 1,655 Murphy USA and Murphy Express fuel-focused kiosks and 148 QuickChek convenience stores concentrated in the US Northeast. The core model is deliberately low-cost: many locations sit directly adjacent to Walmart Supercenters, drawing value-conscious drivers with competitive pump prices, then converting that traffic into higher-margin merchandise sales like tobacco, snacks, and beverages. In the first quarter of 2026 the company reported net income of about $136 million (~$7.28 per diluted share) on revenue of roughly $4.82 billion, up about 21% year over year, driven largely by stronger fuel margins.

Full MUSA guide

What does Walmart (WMT) do?

Walmart is the largest retailer in the world by revenue and the biggest private employer in the United States. It runs more than 10,000 stores and clubs globally under the Walmart and Sam's Club banners, plus a large and fast-growing e-commerce and digital business. Its core proposition is everyday low prices on groceries and general merchandise, achieved through enormous purchasing scale and a highly efficient supply chain. Walmart makes most of its money from US grocery and general merchandise, but it is increasingly building higher-margin profit engines on top of that traffic: Walmart Connect (a retail advertising business), Walmart+ (a subscription membership), marketplace and fulfillment services for third-party sellers, and financial and health services. Roughly a quarter of revenue comes from outside the US, led by operations in Mexico (Walmex), China, and India (Flipkart). Headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas, Walmart is a defensive, scale-driven retailer competing with Amazon, Costco, and Target.

Full WMT guide

MUSA vs WMT: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • MUSA drivers: Structural fuel-margin advantage; New-store unit growth.
  • WMT drivers: Advertising and high-margin profit pools; Omnichannel scale and grocery dominance.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Earnings are highly sensitive to fuel margins per gallon, which can compress quickly when wholesale gasoline prices fall or competition intensifies. For WMT, walmart's core retail margins are thin, so it depends on enormous volume and on the new high-margin businesses scaling to lift profitability.

MUSA or WMT: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick MUSA if you believe its drivers more; WMT if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the MUSA and WMT guides.

MUSA vs WMT: the full fundamentals

MUSA. MUSA traded around a market cap of ~$10.4 billion in mid-2026 at a P/E of roughly 20x, above its ~15x five-year median, reflecting strong recent fuel-margin-driven earnings. Revenue is very large relative to market cap because fuel is a low-margin, high-turnover business, so profit swings with cents-per-gallon margins rather than headline sales.

WMT. Walmart trades at a historically high P/E for a retailer, reflecting the market's enthusiasm for its higher-margin advertising, marketplace, and membership businesses layered on a defensive grocery base. The thin core margin means earnings growth depends heavily on these new profit pools scaling. Walmart is valued as a quality, recession-resilient compounder rather than a pure low-margin retailer.

Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): MUSA shows market cap ~$10.4 billion, q1 2026 net income ~$136 million (~$7.28 diluted EPS), q1 2026 revenue ~$4.82 billion (up ~21% YoY), p/e ratio ~20x (above its ~15x 5-year median); WMT shows revenue (ttm) ~$680 billion, operating margin ~4-4.5% (thin, by design), net income (ttm) ~$17-20 billion, eps (ttm) ~$2.30-2.60 adjusted.

The bottom line: MUSA vs WMT

MUSA and WMT are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined MUSA and WMT exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how MUSA or WMT fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Murphy USA with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how MUSA fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between MUSA and WMT?

+

Murphy USA operates around 1,803 stores as of March 2026, split between roughly 1,655 Murphy USA and Murphy Express fuel-focused kiosks and 148 QuickChek convenience stores concentrated in the US Northeast. Walmart is the largest retailer in the world by revenue and the biggest private employer in the United States. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is MUSA or WMT the better stock?

+

Neither is universally better. WMT is the larger incumbent; MUSA is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, MUSA or WMT?

+

On forward P/E (as of August 2026), MUSA trades at 20.14x and WMT at 33.89x, so MUSA is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both MUSA and WMT?

+

Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of MUSA vs WMT?

+

MUSA: Earnings are highly sensitive to fuel margins per gallon, which can compress quickly when wholesale gasoline prices fall or competition intensifies. Same-store fuel volumes have been roughly flat to slightly negative, so growth leans heavily on new-store additions and merchandise. The acquired QuickChek chain has underperformed, with traffic declines and more closures than openings. Longer term, the gradual shift toward electric vehicles and improving fuel efficiency poses a secular question for gasoline demand. Tobacco sales, a meaningful merchandise category, face ongoing regulatory and volume pressure. WMT: Walmart's core retail margins are thin, so it depends on enormous volume and on the new high-margin businesses scaling to lift profitability. It competes directly with Amazon online and Costco in value, plus dollar stores and Target, in a low-margin, price-sensitive industry where any misstep on pricing or inventory hurts. Consumer-spending weakness, wage inflation, and supply-chain or tariff disruptions can pressure costs and demand, though Walmart's value positioning is somewhat defensive. The premium valuation it now carries (well above its historical multiple) embeds optimism about advertising and margin expansion, leaving little room for disappointment. International operations add currency and execution risk, and labor and regulatory issues are a persistent overhang for the largest US private employer.

Related comparisons

Browse all stock comparisons.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell MUSA or WMT; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    MUSA vs WMT: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App