NFG vs NJR: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated October 2026
Short answer
NFG is the larger of the two ($7.60B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (10.76x forward earnings, beta 0.41). NJR is the smaller challenger ($5.27B), actually pricier on forward earnings (15.17x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
NFG vs NJR: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | NFG | NJR | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $7.60B | $5.27B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 10.76 | 15.17 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 11.13 | 14.46 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.41 | 0.50 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 22% of range | 50% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.94 | 2.00 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: NFG is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how NFG and NJR affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. NFG and NJR share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined NFG and NJR exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) do?
National Fuel Gas Company is a diversified, integrated energy company operating across the natural gas value chain. Its Seneca Resources unit explores for and produces gas in the Appalachian basin, its Pipeline and Storage segment moves and stores gas across roughly 2,600 miles of pipeline and 28 storage fields, and its regulated utility distributes gas in western New York and northwestern Pennsylvania and, since October 1, 2026, in Ohio through the former CenterPoint Ohio utility. The company says its combined utility now serves about 1.1 million customers. An energy-marketing arm rounds out the mix. This vertical integration means NFG captures margin at multiple points from wellhead to burner tip.
What does New Jersey Resources (NJR) do?
New Jersey Resources is a diversified energy infrastructure company headquartered in Wall, New Jersey. Its core is New Jersey Natural Gas (NJNG), a regulated utility that distributes gas to roughly 5.6 million people across Monmouth, Ocean, Morris, Middlesex, Sussex and Burlington counties. Around it sit three non-utility segments: Clean Energy Ventures (solar generation), Energy Services (a wholesale natural gas trading and asset-optimization business active across North America), and Storage and Transportation (the Adelphia Gateway pipeline, the Leaf River salt-dome storage facility, and a 50% stake in Steckman Ridge). Company guidance points to the regulated utility contributing roughly 62 to 67 percent of net financial earnings, with the remainder split among Energy Services, Clean Energy Ventures and Storage and Transportation.
NFG vs NJR: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- NFG drivers: Ohio utility now closed; Planned spin-off of the upstream business.
- NJR drivers: Regulated utility rate-base growth; Energy Services trading upside.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Upstream earnings are directly exposed to volatile natural gas prices until the planned spin-off, and a sustained downturn would pressure results and cash flow. For NJR, as a regulated utility, NJR depends on favorable rate-case outcomes from New Jersey regulators, and unfavorable rulings can compress returns on its heavy capital spending.
NFG or NJR: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick NFG if you believe its drivers more; NJR if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the NFG and NJR guides.
NFG vs NJR: the full fundamentals
NFG. As of October 16, 2026 NFG traded near $80 with a market cap around $7.6 billion, a trailing P/E near 11.2 and a forward P/E near 10.8, a modest multiple for a company whose earnings still swing with gas prices. Analysts expect fiscal 2026 (ended September) EPS of about $7.25, and the fourth-quarter report is scheduled for November 4, 2026, with consensus near $1.04 per share; it is also when the company plans to issue fiscal 2027 guidance. The dividend yields about 2.8% on a payout ratio near 30%.
NJR. NJR trades at about 14.4 times trailing earnings and about 15 times forward estimates, roughly in line with regulated gas utility peers; the market is pricing a stable regulated core plus a variable trading component. Forward earnings are expected to be slightly lower than fiscal 2026 because the strong Energy Services year is not assumed to repeat, which is why the forward multiple sits above the trailing one. The roughly 3.9 percent dividend yield, after a 5.3 percent increase in September, and steady dividend growth are central to the total-return story; seven analysts carry a mean target near $59.71.
Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): NFG shows revenue (ttm) ~$2.5B, net income (ttm) ~$675M, eps (ttm / forward) ~$7.18 / ~$7.43, operating margin ~40%; NJR shows revenue (ttm) ~$2.2B (fiscal Q3 2026 revenue +16.8% YoY), net income (ttm) ~$366M (~16% profit margin), eps (ttm) ~$3.61, fy2026 nfeps guidance ~$3.52 to $3.62 (narrowed, midpoint raised, August 2026).
The bottom line: NFG vs NJR
NFG and NJR are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined NFG and NJR exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how NFG or NJR fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in National Fuel Gas Company with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how NFG fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between NFG and NJR?
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National Fuel Gas Company is a diversified, integrated energy company operating across the natural gas value chain. New Jersey Resources is a diversified energy infrastructure company headquartered in Wall, New Jersey. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is NFG or NJR the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. NFG is the larger incumbent; NJR is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, NFG or NJR?
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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), NFG trades at 10.76x and NJR at 15.17x, so NFG is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both NFG and NJR?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of NFG vs NJR?
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NFG: Upstream earnings are directly exposed to volatile natural gas prices until the planned spin-off, and a sustained downturn would pressure results and cash flow. The Ohio acquisition carries integration, financing, and leverage risk: total debt stands near $3.6 billion against about $1.2 billion of cash. The 2027 separation is not certain, since it depends on an SEC registration, financing and board approval, and a smaller pure utility would give up the commodity upside some holders own the stock for. Regulated returns depend on rate-case outcomes across three states, utility earnings are subject to weather and customer trends, and the upstream business faces well productivity, drilling cost, and environmental and permitting risks. Rising interest rates raise financing costs for a capital-intensive business. NJR: As a regulated utility, NJR depends on favorable rate-case outcomes from New Jersey regulators, and unfavorable rulings can compress returns on its heavy capital spending. Rising interest rates raise financing costs for a capital-intensive balance sheet and can make utility dividend yields less attractive relative to bonds. The Energy Services segment introduces earnings volatility tied to natural gas price swings, so strong years may not repeat and weak commodity environments can pressure results. Weather remains a swing factor for both utility demand and trading margins, as fiscal 2026 illustrated. Longer term, the energy transition and decarbonization policy could weigh on natural gas demand and asset values, and large ongoing capital needs may require continued debt and equity issuance: free cash flow ran about -$259 million over the trailing twelve months and debt stands near $3.9 billion. Analyst consensus also expects fiscal 2027 earnings per share to dip about 3.6% to roughly $3.44 as Energy Services normalizes, and the pending New Jersey base-rate case adds regulatory uncertainty.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell NFG or NJR; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.