OGS vs SR: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

OGS (ONE Gas) and SR (Spire Inc.) share investment themes but are different businesses. The right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme.

OGS vs SR: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricOGSSRWhat it tells you
Market cap$5.09B$4.84BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E16.0114.88Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E17.4718.06Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Beta0.660.56Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through.
Price vs 52-week range42% of range37% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book1.441.35How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how OGS and SR affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. OGS and SR share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined OGS and SR exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does ONE Gas (OGS) do?

ONE Gas runs three regulated natural gas distribution utilities and nothing else: Oklahoma Natural Gas, Kansas Gas Service and Texas Gas Service, together serving roughly 2.3 million customers, about 92% of them residential. The company does not drill for gas, does not own long-haul pipelines, and does not sell electricity. It buys gas, delivers it, and passes the commodity cost through to customers at no markup. Earnings come instead from an allowed return on capital sunk into pipe, meters and regulators, an average rate base of about $6.4 billion in 2026. Terms are set state by state: allowed returns on equity near 9.4% in Oklahoma, 9.5% in Kansas and 9.8% in Texas, on equity layers around 60%. Roughly 70% of margin arrives as fixed customer charges, so a mild winter bruises results less than it once did.

Full OGS guide

What does Spire Inc. (SR) do?

Spire Inc. is a public utility holding company headquartered in St. Louis with roots going back to the 1850s. Its regulated distribution utilities (Spire Missouri, Spire Alabama, Spire Gulf, Spire Mississippi and Spire Tennessee) buy natural gas, move it through their own distribution and transmission pipelines, and sell it to residential, commercial and industrial customers under rates set by state commissions. A small Midstream segment holds pipeline and storage assets that serve the utilities. The company closed a ~$2.48 billion purchase of Duke Energy's Piedmont Tennessee local distribution business on March 31, 2026, adding more than 200,000 customers around Nashville and nearly 3,800 miles of pipeline, and it agreed in April 2026 to sell its smaller Mississippi utility to Delta Utilities for ~$75 million. Spire's fiscal year ends September 30, which matters when reading any trailing figure.

Full SR guide

OGS vs SR: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • OGS drivers: Rate base growth, funded by a defined capital plan; Rate cases and the trackers that shorten regulatory lag.
  • SR drivers: Rate base growth is the earnings engine; Tennessee is the newest and fastest-growing piece.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Regulatory outcomes are the central risk: a commission can disallow spending, set a lower allowed return, or simply take long enough that the company under-earns on capital already deployed. For SR, regulatory outcomes drive nearly everything here: Alabama and Gulf RSE renewal hearings were held in August 2026 with requested returns on equity of ~10.5% to 10.75%, and Spire expects to make its first Missouri future test year rate case filing around November 2026, so an unfavorable order in either place would flow straight to earnings.

OGS or SR: which should you pick?

Pick OGS if you believe its drivers more; SR if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the OGS and SR guides.

OGS vs SR: the full fundamentals

OGS. A sales multiple is close to meaningless here, since the commodity component of revenue is billed at cost and simply flows back out. Regulated gas distributors are compared on price to earnings against rate base growth and allowed ROE, and OGS at roughly 17 times trailing earnings sits in the normal band for the group. Total debt of about $3.4 billion against A3 and A- credit ratings, with adjusted cash flow to debt guided at 19% to 20%, is the other half of the valuation conversation.

SR. At roughly $81 a share, SR trades near ~20 times the midpoint of fiscal 2026 adjusted guidance and closer to ~15 times the fiscal 2027 midpoint. Those two multiples describe different companies, because fiscal 2027 carries a first full year of Tennessee earnings plus the Missouri and Alabama rates that took effect during fiscal 2026, so anchoring on the trailing number overstates how expensive the shares look. Pure-play gas distributors have generally traded in the high teens to low twenties on forward earnings, which puts Spire inside its peer band rather than at either edge of it.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): OGS shows revenue (ttm) ~$2.31B, heavily pass-through gas cost, net income / eps (ttm) ~$288M, ~$4.66 per diluted share, q2 2026 (reported august) adjusted net income ~$52.1M, ~$0.82 per share, GAAP ~$0.74, 2026 adjusted eps guidance ~$4.83 to ~$4.95, raised to the upper half; SR shows revenue (ttm) ~$2.7B, with ~$2.14B in the first nine months of fiscal 2026, adjusted eps guidance ~$3.90 to $4.10 for FY2026, ~$5.40 to $5.60 for FY2027, market cap ~$4.8B at a share price near ~$81, dividend ~$0.825 per quarter (~$3.30 annualized), ~4.1% yield, 23rd consecutive annual increase.

The bottom line: OGS vs SR

OGS and SR are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined OGS and SR exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how OGS or SR fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in ONE Gas with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how OGS fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between OGS and SR?

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ONE Gas runs three regulated natural gas distribution utilities and nothing else: Oklahoma Natural Gas, Kansas Gas Service and Texas Gas Service, together serving roughly 2.3 million customers, about 92% of them residential. Spire Inc. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is OGS or SR the better stock?

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Neither is universally better; they suit different views and risk levels. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, OGS or SR?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), OGS trades at 16.01x and SR at 14.88x, so SR is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both OGS and SR?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of OGS vs SR?

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OGS: Regulatory outcomes are the central risk: a commission can disallow spending, set a lower allowed return, or simply take long enough that the company under-earns on capital already deployed. Affordability politics compound this, because Winter Storm Uri securitization charges of roughly $6 a month already sit on customer bills in Oklahoma and Kansas and will for years. Another Uri-scale gas price event would again force ONE Gas to fund enormous purchases before recovering them, a working capital shock the 2021 event showed can run into the billions. The funding plan assumes equity can be issued on reasonable terms, so a lower share price makes the same capital program more dilutive. Longer term, building electrification and state-level restrictions on new gas connections would chip at customer growth in a business whose value rests on adding meters for decades. SR: Regulatory outcomes drive nearly everything here: Alabama and Gulf RSE renewal hearings were held in August 2026 with requested returns on equity of ~10.5% to 10.75%, and Spire expects to make its first Missouri future test year rate case filing around November 2026, so an unfavorable order in either place would flow straight to earnings. Financing is the second pressure point, since the ~$2.48 billion Tennessee purchase was funded with cash and a stack of fiscal 2026 debt issuance including ~$200 million of Missouri bonds, ~$200 million of subordinated notes and ~$400 million of senior notes, leaving the company more exposed to interest rates and to rating agency views than it was two years ago. Seasonality can mislead badly: Spire reported a GAAP loss of ~$42.6 million, or ~$(0.72) per diluted share, in the June 2026 quarter, which is normal for a gas distributor in summer but looks alarming out of context. Integrating a newly acquired utility across a fourth state carries execution and service quality risk, and any early stumble tends to be noticed by the commission that sets the rates. Longer term, electrification policy, building codes that discourage new gas hookups, and pipeline safety mandates all bear on how durable a gas-only distribution rate base is over a ten-year capital plan.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell OGS or SR; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    OGS vs SR: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? - Walnut AI Investing App