VLY vs WBS: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated August 2026
Short answer
WBS is the larger of the two ($12.51B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (10.79x forward earnings, beta 1.00). VLY is the smaller challenger ($7.90B), cheaper on forward earnings (9.33x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
VLY vs WBS: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | VLY | WBS | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $7.90B | $12.51B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 9.33 | 10.79 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 12.11 | 12.58 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 1.05 | 1.00 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 85% of range | 98% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 1.06 | 1.35 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: VLY is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how VLY and WBS affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. VLY and WBS share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined VLY and WBS exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Valley National Bancorp (VLY) do?
Valley National Bancorp is the holding company for Valley National Bank, a regional lender headquartered in the New York metro area with operations concentrated in New Jersey, New York, Florida, Alabama and California. At December 31, 2025 it held roughly $64.1 billion in total assets, about $49.6 billion in net loans and $52.2 billion in deposits, and it makes money the traditional way, by taking deposits and lending against commercial real estate, commercial and industrial borrowers, and consumers, while collecting fee income on the side. Commercial real estate has long been its signature exposure, at about 58 percent of total loans, which is high versus most peers and is the single biggest factor investors watch.
What does Webster Financial Corporation (WBS) do?
Webster Financial Corporation (NYSE: WBS) is a US regional bank holding company with more than $84 billion in total assets, headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, and operating primarily across the Northeast. It runs three business lines: Commercial Banking (lending, treasury, and deposit services for middle-market and commercial clients), Consumer Banking (checking, savings, mortgages, and consumer lending across its branch network), and Healthcare Financial Services, home to HSA Bank, one of the largest administrators of health savings accounts in the country. Like most banks, Webster earns money mainly from net interest income (the spread between what it earns on loans and securities and what it pays on deposits), which it guided to roughly $2.47 to $2.50 billion for 2025, supplemented by fee income from deposit services, wealth management, and its HSA business.
VLY vs WBS: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- VLY drivers: Net interest margin recovery; Deposit growth and funding mix.
- WBS drivers: Pending Banco Santander acquisition is the whole story; Regulatory approvals are the gating factor.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Valley's commercial real estate concentration, near 58 percent of loans and among the highest of comparable regional banks, is the central risk: a downturn in office, multifamily or construction values could drive higher provisions and charge-offs. For WBS, the central risk is deal completion: if the Federal Reserve or European Central Bank blocks or materially delays the merger, Webster shares could fall back toward their pre-announcement level, giving up the acquisition premium.
VLY or WBS: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick VLY if you believe its drivers more; WBS if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the VLY and WBS guides.
VLY vs WBS: the full fundamentals
VLY. VLY trades at a low double-digit trailing price to earnings (around 12) and a forward multiple near 10, a discount that reflects market caution on its commercial real estate book. Total assets were about $64.1 billion with roughly $50.8 billion in loans and $52.9 billion in deposits as of Q1 2026. The bank pays a dividend that has historically produced a mid-single-digit yield.
WBS. Webster's valuation is effectively set by the Banco Santander merger terms ($48.75 cash plus 2.0548 Santander ADS per share) rather than by traditional bank multiples. The deal was struck at roughly 2.0x fourth-quarter 2025 tangible book value. Because part of the payment is Santander stock, the effective per-share value fluctuates with Santander's share price until close.
Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): VLY shows market cap ~$8 billion, revenue (q1 2026) ~$540 million, net income (q1 2026) ~$164 million, diluted eps (q1 2026) ~$0.28; WBS shows total assets ~$84 billion (as of 2025), full-year 2025 revenue ~$2.9 billion, full-year 2025 diluted eps ~$5.90 (Q4 adjusted EPS ~$1.59), q1 2026 net income to common ~$239 million (~$1.50 diluted, ~$1.57 adjusted).
The bottom line: VLY vs WBS
VLY and WBS are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined VLY and WBS exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how VLY or WBS fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in Valley National Bancorp with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how VLY fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between VLY and WBS?
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Valley National Bancorp is the holding company for Valley National Bank, a regional lender headquartered in the New York metro area with operations concentrated in New Jersey, New York, Florida, Alabama and California. Webster Financial Corporation (NYSE: WBS) is a US regional bank holding company with more than $84 billion in total assets, headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, and operating primarily across the Northeast. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is VLY or WBS the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. WBS is the larger incumbent; VLY is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, VLY or WBS?
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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), VLY trades at 9.33x and WBS at 10.79x, so VLY is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both VLY and WBS?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of VLY vs WBS?
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VLY: Valley's commercial real estate concentration, near 58 percent of loans and among the highest of comparable regional banks, is the central risk: a downturn in office, multifamily or construction values could drive higher provisions and charge-offs. The bank is also sensitive to interest rates and deposit competition, which can compress margin quickly. Credit provisioning has stayed elevated, and its geographic focus on New York and New Jersey ties results to those regional economies. A broader repeat of the 2023 regional-bank deposit stress would pressure the stock, and the dividend, while attractive, depends on continued earnings stability. WBS: The central risk is deal completion: if the Federal Reserve or European Central Bank blocks or materially delays the merger, Webster shares could fall back toward their pre-announcement level, giving up the acquisition premium. Because part of the consideration is Santander ADS rather than cash, holders are also exposed to swings in Santander's share price and the euro, so the realized value can move even if the deal closes. As a bank, Webster carries the usual credit-cycle risk, where a recession or rising unemployment would increase loan losses, particularly in commercial real estate and consumer lending, and interest-rate sensitivity, since net interest income is its largest revenue line and falling rates or deposit repricing can compress it. Merger-related uncertainty can also cause customer or employee attrition and integration disruption. Finally, with regular earnings calls suspended during the deal process, investors have less visibility into operating trends than they normally would.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell VLY or WBS; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.