CAI vs TEM: How Caris Life Sciences and Tempus AI Compare (2026)

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

TEM is the larger of the two ($7.92B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (-907.72x forward earnings, beta 3.46). CAI is the smaller challenger ($4.61B), priced similarly on forward earnings (45.88x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

CAI vs TEM: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricCAITEMWhat it tells you
Market cap$4.61B$7.92BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E45.88-907.72Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Price vs 52-week range8% of range5% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book7.7718.89How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how CAI and TEM affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. CAI and TEM share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined CAI and TEM exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does Caris Life Sciences (CAI) do?

Caris Life Sciences, Inc. is an Irving, Texas based precision-medicine company that sequences tumors and blood to guide cancer treatment. Its core service is comprehensive molecular profiling: the MI Profile platform runs whole exome and whole transcriptome sequencing on tissue, while the Caris Assure platform does blood-based profiling, and newer assays extend into whole genome sequencing, minimal residual disease monitoring (Caris WGS MRD), hematologic profiling (Caris ChromoSeq) and multi-cancer early detection (Caris Detect). Alongside the clinical lab business, Caris licenses access to its multi-modal molecular and clinical database and runs research services for pharmaceutical partners, which is the second revenue line and the reason the company describes itself as an AI or TechBio company rather than a lab.

Full CAI guide

What does Tempus AI (TEM) do?

Tempus AI (NASDAQ: TEM) is a Chicago-based technology company that applies artificial intelligence to precision medicine, primarily in oncology but increasingly across cardiology, neuropsychiatry, and hereditary conditions. It operates two interconnected business lines: a diagnostics segment that performs next-generation sequencing (NGS), PCR profiling, molecular pathology, and hereditary genetic tests through CAP-accredited, CLIA-certified laboratories, charging on a per-test basis; and a Data and Applications segment that licenses de-identified, linked clinical, molecular, and imaging datasets to life sciences companies (Insights), offers clinical trial matching (Trials), and deploys AI-powered algorithm products for physicians (Algos) and an AI platform called Next. Approximately 95% of the top 20 pharmaceutical companies use Tempus data or trial services, and the platform has integrations across more than 7,000 physicians and hundreds of research partners, creating a self-reinforcing network where clinical volume generates data that improves AI models and attracts more customers.

Full TEM guide

CAI vs TEM: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • CAI drivers: Reimbursement-driven pricing (ASP); Volume growth and the shift to blood.
  • TEM drivers: Explosive Revenue Growth with a Clear Path to Profitability; Data Licensing as a High-Margin Flywheel.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: The clearest risk is reimbursement: a large share of recent revenue growth came from price rather than volume, and coverage decisions, rate resets, or payer pushback could reverse that quickly. For TEM, tempus remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, with a full-year 2025 net loss of $245 million (which included $136 million in stock-based compensation), and the path to sustained GAAP profitability is long; Q1 2026 showed a net loss of $125.9 million, widening 85% year-over-year, and EPS missed analyst estimates by 34%.

CAI or TEM: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick CAI if you believe its drivers more; TEM if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the CAI and TEM guides.

CAI vs TEM: the full fundamentals

CAI. Caris has no meaningful earnings multiple because it is only now reaching breakeven on a GAAP basis, so the market prices it on sales and on the durability of the pricing gains behind them. At roughly 5 times trailing revenue the stock is far below where it traded shortly after the June 2025 IPO, when the 52-week high reached ~$42.50 against a recent ~$16 price. Gross margin has widened toward the mid-60s percent range from the high-40s a year earlier, which is the other half of why losses collapsed.

TEM. Tempus trades at roughly 6.6 times trailing twelve-month revenue, a premium that reflects the market pricing in a future where its data-licensing flywheel generates high-margin recurring revenue at scale. The P/E ratio is not meaningful today because the company is not yet GAAP profitable, but consensus estimates suggest the first meaningful earnings could arrive by 2028, and the company's own guidance calls for positive Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $65 million in 2026. The gross margin of approximately 63% is already at software-like levels and has expanded significantly as the higher-margin Data and Applications segment grows faster than diagnostics.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): CAI shows revenue (ttm) ~$907M (+~100% YoY), q1 2026 revenue ~$216M (+~79% YoY), 2026 revenue guidance ~$1.00B to $1.02B (+~23% to 26%), q1 2026 adjusted ebitda ~$26M (fourth straight positive quarter); TEM shows revenue (fy2025, reported) ~$1.27 billion, revenue (ttm, as of q1 2026) ~$1.36 billion, q1 2026 revenue (most recent quarter) ~$348 million (up 36% YoY), gross margin (fy2025) ~63%.

The bottom line: CAI vs TEM

CAI and TEM are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined CAI and TEM exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how CAI or TEM fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in Caris Life Sciences with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how CAI fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between CAI and TEM?

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Caris Life Sciences, Inc. Tempus AI (NASDAQ: TEM) is a Chicago-based technology company that applies artificial intelligence to precision medicine, primarily in oncology but increasingly across cardiology, neuropsychiatry, and hereditary conditions. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is CAI or TEM the better stock?

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Neither is universally better. TEM is the larger incumbent; CAI is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, CAI or TEM?

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On forward P/E (as of August 2026), CAI trades at 45.88x and TEM at -907.72x, so TEM is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both CAI and TEM?

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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of CAI vs TEM?

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CAI: The clearest risk is reimbursement: a large share of recent revenue growth came from price rather than volume, and coverage decisions, rate resets, or payer pushback could reverse that quickly. Guided 2026 growth of ~23% to 26% is a steep deceleration from triple-digit trailing growth, and quarterly results have been volatile (Q4 2025 revenue of ~$293 million was well above the quarters on either side), which makes trend-reading hard. Competition is intense and better capitalized in places, with Foundation Medicine inside Roche, Tempus AI pursuing nearly the same data-plus-sequencing model, and Guardant, Exact Sciences and Grail contesting the blood-based and early-detection frontier. Caris also carries regulatory and legal exposure typical of clinical labs, including a prior ~$2.9 million False Claims Act settlement over billing timing, and lab-developed-test oversight remains an open policy question. Finally, the stock is a recent IPO (June 2025) with a short public track record, no earnings multiple to anchor on, and a history of large stock-based-compensation charges. TEM: Tempus remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, with a full-year 2025 net loss of $245 million (which included $136 million in stock-based compensation), and the path to sustained GAAP profitability is long; Q1 2026 showed a net loss of $125.9 million, widening 85% year-over-year, and EPS missed analyst estimates by 34%. Reimbursement risk is material: a significant portion of Tempus's diagnostics revenue depends on favorable coverage decisions from CMS and private payers, and adverse rulings on NGS tests or laboratory-developed tests (LDTs) could reduce revenue per test sharply. Regulatory scrutiny of LDTs by the FDA, ongoing data privacy obligations under HIPAA, and the risk that competitors such as Guardant Health, Illumina, Roche, or PathAI develop comparable datasets or lower-priced tests could compress both volume growth and pricing power over time.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell CAI or TEM; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    CAI vs TEM: How Caris Life Sciences and Tempus AI Compare (2026) - Walnut AI Investing App