CHDN vs GLPI: How Churchill Downs Incorporated and Gaming and Leisure Properties Compare (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
GLPI is the larger of the two ($13.33B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (13.73x forward earnings, beta 0.69). CHDN is the smaller challenger ($6.23B), priced similarly on forward earnings (12.27x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
CHDN vs GLPI: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | CHDN | GLPI | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $6.23B | $13.33B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 12.27 | 13.73 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 16.45 | 14.43 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.67 | 0.69 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 24% of range | 52% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 5.68 | 2.80 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how CHDN and GLPI affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. CHDN and GLPI share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined CHDN and GLPI exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) do?
Churchill Downs Incorporated operates through three reportable segments: Live and Historical Racing (the Churchill Downs Racetrack that hosts the Kentucky Derby plus Derby City Gaming and a growing fleet of historical racing machine, or HRM, venues in Kentucky and Virginia), Wagering Services and Solutions (the TwinSpires online horse-race wagering platform, the Exacta HRM technology business, and United Tote), and Gaming (regional casino and racetrack properties). The Kentucky Derby remains the crown jewel, generating record luxury ticket sales and TV audiences, while HRM parlors have become the primary growth engine as new venues open across Kentucky and Virginia.
What does Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI) do?
Gaming and Leisure Properties is a real estate investment trust that owns the physical property, land, buildings, and parking, underneath casinos and gaming facilities, then leases it back to the companies that actually run the gaming operations. It uses long-term triple-net master leases, meaning tenants cover taxes, insurance, and maintenance, and most leases carry fixed or CPI-linked rent escalators plus rent-coverage covenants. As of the end of 2025, GLPI owned interests in 69 gaming and related facilities across 20 states, all 100% occupied, making it one of the two dominant landlords in US gaming real estate alongside VICI Properties. Roughly 97% of its cash rent comes from five tenants: PENN Entertainment (its largest, spun off from in 2013), Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, and Bally's.
CHDN vs GLPI: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- CHDN drivers: Historical racing machine expansion; Kentucky Derby franchise and pricing power.
- GLPI drivers: High, contractually backed dividend; Escalator-linked rent and 100% occupancy.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Churchill Downs carries substantial leverage, with net debt of roughly $4.9 billion and a debt-to-equity ratio well above peers, which magnifies both returns and downside as interest costs and maturities in 2027 and 2028 come due. For GLPI, gLPI depends on a small number of tenants, with about 97% of cash rent coming from just five operators, so financial trouble at PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, or Bally's would directly threaten rent collection.
CHDN or GLPI: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick CHDN if you believe its drivers more; GLPI if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the CHDN and GLPI guides.
CHDN vs GLPI: the full fundamentals
CHDN. Churchill Downs trades at a mid-teens earnings multiple after record Q1 2026 revenue of about $663 million and adjusted EBITDA near $257 million, with diluted EPS of $1.16. The valuation reflects steady growth alongside heavy leverage (net debt around $4.9 billion), so much of the equity story hinges on HRM expansion continuing to compound EBITDA faster than interest costs rise.
GLPI. GLPI is valued like an income-focused net-lease REIT, trading around 10.5x forward AFFO with a yield near 7%, roughly in line with peer VICI on multiple but at a persistent discount that reflects its heavier regional-casino tenant mix. Because it distributes most of its rental cash flow, the durability of tenant rent and the level of interest rates drive the shares far more than headline growth. Figures are approximate and based on Q1 2026 results and 2026 guidance.
Headline figures (approximate, July 2026): CHDN shows revenue (ttm) ~$2.9B, fy2025 net income ~$383M, q1 2026 revenue ~$663M (record), q1 2026 adjusted ebitda ~$257M (record); GLPI shows total revenue (q1 2026) ~$420 million (up ~6.3% YoY), affo (q1 2026) ~$297 million (~$1.02 per diluted share), 2026 affo guidance ~$4.08 to $4.12 per share, dividend ~$3.12 annualized (~$0.78/quarter).
The bottom line: CHDN vs GLPI
CHDN and GLPI are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined CHDN and GLPI exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Investing in Churchill Downs Incorporated with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how CHDN fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between CHDN and GLPI?
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Churchill Downs Incorporated operates through three reportable segments: Live and Historical Racing (the Churchill Downs Racetrack that hosts the Kentucky Derby plus Derby City Gaming and a growing fleet of historical racing machine, or HRM, venues in Kentucky and Virginia), Wagering Services and Solutions (the TwinSpires online horse-race wagering platform, the Exacta HRM technology business, and United Tote), and Gaming (regional casino and racetrack properties). Gaming and Leisure Properties is a real estate investment trust that owns the physical property, land, buildings, and parking, underneath casinos and gaming facilities, then leases it back to the companies that actually run the gaming operations. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is CHDN or GLPI the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. GLPI is the larger incumbent; CHDN is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, CHDN or GLPI?
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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), CHDN trades at 12.27x and GLPI at 13.73x, so CHDN is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both CHDN and GLPI?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of CHDN vs GLPI?
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CHDN: Churchill Downs carries substantial leverage, with net debt of roughly $4.9 billion and a debt-to-equity ratio well above peers, which magnifies both returns and downside as interest costs and maturities in 2027 and 2028 come due. The business is exposed to discretionary consumer spending, so a weaker economy could pressure gaming volumes and Derby-week spend. Large capital projects and acquisitions carry execution and financing risk, and regional gaming faces competition and potential regulatory or tax changes. HRM legality and expansion depend on state-by-state rules that could shift. Concentration in a single flagship event also means weather, safety, or reputational issues around the Derby carry outsized weight. GLPI: GLPI depends on a small number of tenants, with about 97% of cash rent coming from just five operators, so financial trouble at PENN, Caesars, Boyd, Cordish, or Bally's would directly threaten rent collection. As a REIT that borrows to buy properties, it is sensitive to interest rates: higher rates raise its cost of capital, can compress the spread on new acquisitions, and make its yield less attractive versus bonds. Its regional-casino tenants are exposed to consumer discretionary spending, competition from new casinos and online gaming, and regional economic softness. Growth also relies on continued sale-leaseback deal flow, which can slow if financing is expensive or tenants have fewer assets to monetize, and the stock's persistent discount to VICI may not close.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell CHDN or GLPI; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.