CSW vs LII: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
Last updated October 2026
Short answer
LII is the larger of the two ($12.36B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (13.87x forward earnings, beta 1.16). CSW is the smaller challenger ($4.70B), actually pricier on forward earnings (21.10x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
CSW vs LII: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of October 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | CSW | LII | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $4.70B | $12.36B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 21.10 | 13.87 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Trailing P/E | 39.50 | 15.77 | Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price. |
| Beta | 0.81 | 1.16 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 44% of range | 7% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 4.38 | 9.53 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Reading it: LII is the cheaper of the two on forward earnings, but cheaper is not the same as better. Pair the valuation with growth (how far the forward P/E sits below the trailing P/E) and risk (beta) before you decide.
Before you buy: how CSW and LII affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. CSW and LII share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined CSW and LII exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does CSW Industrials (CSW) do?
CSW Industrials is a diversified industrial company that designs and makes niche products across three segments: Contractor Solutions (roughly 71% of revenue, its largest and highest-margin unit), Specialized Reliability Solutions (about 16%), and Engineered Building Solutions (the remainder). Its products include mechanical parts for heating, ventilation, air conditioning and refrigeration (HVAC/R), plumbing components, grilles/registers/diffusers, building-safety solutions, and high-performance specialty lubricants and sealants. The company sells largely to contractors and industrial end markets, favoring products where it holds strong brand or specification positions rather than commodity exposure.
What does Lennox International (LII) do?
Lennox International designs, manufactures, and distributes heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) equipment across North America under the flagship Lennox brand and related labels. The business runs in two segments: Home Comfort Solutions (residential furnaces, air conditioners, heat pumps, and related equipment sold largely through dealers and distributors) and Building Climate Solutions (commercial rooftop units, controls, and refrigeration for light-commercial customers such as retailers, restaurants, and convenience stores). A large share of demand is replacement rather than new construction, which gives the model a more stable, recurring feel than pure cyclicals, and the company has leaned on manufacturing efficiency, direct-to-dealer distribution, and pricing to expand margins over time.
CSW vs LII: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- CSW drivers: Acquisition-led growth engine; Contractor Solutions margin engine.
- LII drivers: Replacement demand and installed base; Regulatory tailwinds and product mix.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Valuation is the most cited risk: CSW trades near 39x trailing and 21x forward earnings (October 2026), a premium well above peers and its own history, so any growth disappointment can compress the stock. For LII, residential demand is the immediate risk: Home Comfort Solutions revenue fell about 7% in the second quarter of 2026, segment profit fell about 12%, and management cut full-year EPS guidance to $23 to $24, which sent the shares down nearly 21% in a day.
CSW or LII: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick CSW if you believe its drivers more; LII if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the CSW and LII guides.
CSW vs LII: the full fundamentals
CSW. CSW trades near 39x trailing earnings, a figure inflated by the fiscal 2026 impairment and interest costs, and about 21x forward earnings on analyst estimates near $12.59 of EPS for fiscal 2027. That premium sits well above building-products peers, and the shares have gone roughly sideways in 2026 as the market weighs acquisition-driven growth against roughly $880 million of net debt. The next report, for the September quarter, is expected around October 29, 2026, with consensus near $3.63 in EPS on about $351 million of revenue.
LII. At about $360 a share, Lennox trades near 16 times trailing earnings and 14 times the 2027 EPS consensus of about $25.80, a sharp de-rating from the mid-20s multiple it carried in mid-2026. The drop came from the July guidance cut and weaker residential volumes rather than a collapse in profitability, since operating margin stayed near 23%. The analyst mean target of about $449 sits above the current price, but the consensus rating has slipped to Hold.
Headline figures (approximate, October 2026): CSW shows revenue (ttm) ~$1.17B, revenue growth (q1 fy2027, yoy) ~33%, q1 fy2027 eps $3.84 vs ~$3.46 consensus; net income ~$50M, margins (ttm gross / operating / net) ~42.5% / ~22.9% / ~10.3%; LII shows revenue (ttm) ~$5.3B, q2 2026 revenue growth (yoy) ~3% (commercial ~+24%, residential ~-7%), operating margin ~23%, net income (ttm) ~$789M.
The bottom line: CSW vs LII
CSW and LII are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined CSW and LII exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Wondering how CSW or LII fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.
Investing in CSW Industrials with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how CSW fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between CSW and LII?
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CSW Industrials is a diversified industrial company that designs and makes niche products across three segments: Contractor Solutions (roughly 71% of revenue, its largest and highest-margin unit), Specialized Reliability Solutions (about 16%), and Engineered Building Solutions (the remainder). Lennox International designs, manufactures, and distributes heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) equipment across North America under the flagship Lennox brand and related labels. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is CSW or LII the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. LII is the larger incumbent; CSW is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, CSW or LII?
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On forward P/E (as of October 2026), CSW trades at 21.10x and LII at 13.87x, so LII is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both CSW and LII?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of CSW vs LII?
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CSW: Valuation is the most cited risk: CSW trades near 39x trailing and 21x forward earnings (October 2026), a premium well above peers and its own history, so any growth disappointment can compress the stock. The recent acquisition spree lifted net debt to about $843 million (net leverage around 2.55x) at fiscal year end, and as of June 2026 total debt stood near $927 million against about $49 million of cash, and sharply increased interest expense, adding integration and balance-sheet risk that did not exist a year earlier. Reported earnings can be lumpy, as shown by the fiscal 2026 non-cash impairment. Organic growth has at times been soft, meaning results lean heavily on acquisitions. Cyclical exposure to construction, HVAC/R activity, and industrial demand remains a factor. LII: Residential demand is the immediate risk: Home Comfort Solutions revenue fell about 7% in the second quarter of 2026, segment profit fell about 12%, and management cut full-year EPS guidance to $23 to $24, which sent the shares down nearly 21% in a day. Analysts have since turned more cautious, with Goldman Sachs downgrading the stock to Neutral ($390 target) on October 14 and Mizuho, RBC, Jefferies, and Oppenheimer all trimming targets in October. Margins face pressure from cost inflation and higher interest expense, and the balance sheet carries about $2.0 billion of debt against little cash. The business is concentrated in North American HVACR, tying results to U.S. housing activity, weather, consumer spending, and interest rates. It competes against larger, better-capitalized rivals (Carrier, Trane, Daikin, Johnson Controls, Rheem) with broad portfolios and distribution. The refrigerant transition and supply-chain shifts also carry execution and inventory risk, and trailing free cash flow of about $278 million was well below operating cash flow.
Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell CSW or LII; figures are approximate and dated (as of October 2026). Verify current data before investing.