KTOS vs RCAT: How Kratos Defense & Security Solutions and Red Cat Holdings Compare (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
KTOS is the larger of the two ($8.53B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (41.70x forward earnings, beta 1.07). RCAT is the smaller challenger ($1.10B), priced similarly on forward earnings (-20.04x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
KTOS vs RCAT: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | KTOS | RCAT | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $8.53B | $1.10B | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 41.70 | -20.04 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Beta | 1.07 | 1.30 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 0% of range | 11% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 2.50 | 3.68 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how KTOS and RCAT affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. KTOS and RCAT share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined KTOS and RCAT exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) do?
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a defense technology company that specializes in affordable, high-performance systems the U.S. military wants to buy in volume. Its two segments are Unmanned Systems, home to the XQ-58 Valkyrie collaborative combat aircraft and other tactical drones and target drones, and Kratos Government Solutions, which spans hypersonic systems (Erinyes, Dark Fury), solid rocket motors, turbine and jet engines, microwave electronics, C5ISR, space, training and cyber. The common thread is being the low-cost, fast-to-field alternative to legacy prime contractors, which lines up with Pentagon demand for attritable, mass-producible hardware.
What does Red Cat Holdings (RCAT) do?
Red Cat Holdings makes small unmanned aerial systems for military and public safety customers, principally through its Teal Drones subsidiary, which produces short-range reconnaissance drones for defence programmes.
KTOS vs RCAT: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- KTOS drivers: Valkyrie and collaborative combat aircraft; Hypersonics, rockets and engines.
- RCAT drivers: US-manufactured drones for defence procurement; Short-range reconnaissance programme exposure.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Valuation is the dominant risk: with a triple-digit price-to-earnings ratio, the stock prices in years of sustained growth and any stumble can drive a sharp derating. For RCAT, red Cat is a small, loss-making company whose value depends heavily on defence programme awards that may be delayed, reduced or lost.
KTOS or RCAT: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick KTOS if you believe its drivers more; RCAT if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the KTOS and RCAT guides.
KTOS vs RCAT: the full fundamentals
KTOS. As of the March 2026 quarter, Kratos posted about $371 million in Q1 revenue, up roughly 23 percent year over year, and raised full-year 2026 guidance toward $1.7 to $1.76 billion. Net income remains small, so with a market cap around $10 billion the price-to-earnings ratio sits in the hundreds and price-to-sales is roughly 7 times. The valuation reflects growth and backlog expectations far more than current earnings.
RCAT. Red Cat's valuation rests on future programme awards rather than on current earnings, which makes it highly sensitive to procurement news. Verify the current cash position, share count and contract status.
Headline figures (approximate, MARCH 2026): KTOS shows revenue (q1 2026) ~$371M, revenue (ttm) ~$1.4B, fy2026 revenue guidance ~$1.7B to $1.76B, adjusted ebitda (fy2025) ~$120M; RCAT shows business model Small unmanned aerial systems for defence and public safety, key driver US defence programme awards, particularly short-range reconnaissance, profitability Loss-making; verify the current cash runway, share count Has grown through capital raises; verify current dilution.
The bottom line: KTOS vs RCAT
KTOS and RCAT are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined KTOS and RCAT exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Investing in Kratos Defense & Security Solutions with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how KTOS fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between KTOS and RCAT?
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Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a defense technology company that specializes in affordable, high-performance systems the U.S. Red Cat Holdings makes small unmanned aerial systems for military and public safety customers, principally through its Teal Drones subsidiary, which produces short-range reconnaissance drones for defence programmes. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is KTOS or RCAT the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. KTOS is the larger incumbent; RCAT is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, KTOS or RCAT?
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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), KTOS trades at 41.70x and RCAT at -20.04x, so RCAT is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both KTOS and RCAT?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of KTOS vs RCAT?
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KTOS: Valuation is the dominant risk: with a triple-digit price-to-earnings ratio, the stock prices in years of sustained growth and any stumble can drive a sharp derating. Kratos depends on U.S. government budgets, appropriations timing and program-of-record decisions, all of which can slip or be cut. Many flagship programs (Valkyrie, hypersonics) are still scaling, so production, supply-chain and execution risk is real. Competition comes from far larger primes like Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman and RTX, plus focused drone makers, which can pressure pricing and win rates. Thin operating margins mean profitability remains modest even as revenue grows. RCAT: Red Cat is a small, loss-making company whose value depends heavily on defence programme awards that may be delayed, reduced or lost. It has funded itself through repeated equity issuance, diluting shareholders. Revenue is concentrated in a small number of contracts. Manufacturing at scale is a different challenge from prototype production. This is a speculative small-cap rather than an established defence supplier.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell KTOS or RCAT; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.