AVEX vs KTOS: How AEVEX Corp. and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Compare (2026)

Last updated August 2026

Short answer

KTOS is the larger of the two ($8.74B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (42.71x forward earnings, beta 1.07). AVEX is the smaller challenger ($1.25B), priced similarly on forward earnings (44.46x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.

AVEX vs KTOS: the tie-breaker metrics

Same yardstick, side by side (as of August 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.

MetricAVEXKTOSWhat it tells you
Market cap$1.25B$8.74BSize. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove.
Forward P/E44.4642.71Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up.
Trailing P/E56.85274.12Valuation on the last 12 months. A big drop from trailing to forward means the market expects earnings to jump, so more growth is already in the price.
Price vs 52-week range31% of range4% of rangeWhere today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why.
Price / book5.172.56How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price.

Before you buy: how AVEX and KTOS affect your concentration

The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. AVEX and KTOS share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.

This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined AVEX and KTOS exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.

What does AEVEX Corp. (AVEX) do?

AEVEX Corp. was founded in 2017 and runs two segments. Tactical Systems designs and builds attritable unmanned systems: the Phoenix Ghost loitering munition family (including the Disruptor and Dominator variants first revealed publicly when the Pentagon sent 121 units to Ukraine in April 2022), plus the Mako unmanned surface vessel shown at the Special Operations Forces trade show in May 2026, which the company rates at up to 50 knots. Global Solutions is the services half: airborne ISR, processing and exploitation of collected imagery, and in-theater manufacturing and sustainment close to the units using the hardware. Roughly ~78% of revenue comes from government customers, the company employs about ~650 people, and it says it has more than ~10,200 systems committed through the end of 2026.

Full AVEX guide

What does Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) do?

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a defense technology company that specializes in affordable, high-performance systems the U.S. military wants to buy in volume. Its two segments are Unmanned Systems, home to the XQ-58 Valkyrie collaborative combat aircraft and other tactical drones and target drones, and Kratos Government Solutions, which spans hypersonic systems (Erinyes, Dark Fury), solid rocket motors, turbine and jet engines, microwave electronics, C5ISR, space, training and cyber. The common thread is being the low-cost, fast-to-field alternative to legacy prime contractors, which lines up with Pentagon demand for attritable, mass-producible hardware.

Full KTOS guide

AVEX vs KTOS: how do they differ?

Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.

  • AVEX drivers: One-way attack drone procurement moving from experiment to program of record; Attritable economics fit the way the US now plans to fight.
  • KTOS drivers: Valkyrie and collaborative combat aircraft; Hypersonics, rockets and engines.

Which fits which kind of investor

A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Customer concentration is the dominant exposure: roughly ~78% of revenue comes from government buyers, so a continuing resolution, a program cancellation or a reprioritization inside the unmanned systems budget can move a full year of results. For KTOS, valuation is the dominant risk: with a triple-digit price-to-earnings ratio, the stock prices in years of sustained growth and any stumble can drive a sharp derating.

AVEX or KTOS: which should you pick?

Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick AVEX if you believe its drivers more; KTOS if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the AVEX and KTOS guides.

AVEX vs KTOS: the full fundamentals

AVEX. AEVEX is profitable, which distinguishes it from most drone-adjacent listings, but the earnings base is thin relative to the market value, so the multiple carries the story. First quarter 2026 revenue of ~$216.7 million against ~$53.3 million a year earlier is not a like-for-like organic comparison, and the pre-IPO reporting history is short. The August 12, 2026 second quarter release is the first clean read on margin progression as a public company.

KTOS. As of the March 2026 quarter, Kratos posted about $371 million in Q1 revenue, up roughly 23 percent year over year, and raised full-year 2026 guidance toward $1.7 to $1.76 billion. Net income remains small, so with a market cap around $10 billion the price-to-earnings ratio sits in the hundreds and price-to-sales is roughly 7 times. The valuation reflects growth and backlog expectations far more than current earnings.

Headline figures (approximate, August 2026): AVEX shows revenue (ttm) ~$596 million, up ~10.4% year over year, net income (ttm) ~$29.6 million, or ~$0.33 per share, market capitalization ~$2.5 billion on ~114 million shares, p/e ratio (trailing) ~67x at a share price near ~$22; KTOS shows revenue (q1 2026) ~$371M, revenue (ttm) ~$1.4B, fy2026 revenue guidance ~$1.7B to $1.76B, adjusted ebitda (fy2025) ~$120M.

The bottom line: AVEX vs KTOS

AVEX and KTOS are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined AVEX and KTOS exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.

Wondering how AVEX or KTOS fits the portfolio you already own? Walnut is an AI investing app that connects your brokerage read-only and answers questions like that about your actual holdings: overlap, concentration, and how each position tracks the S&P 500. Compare the best AI portfolio analyzers or see the best AI investing apps in 2026.

Investing in AEVEX Corp. with AI

Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how AVEX fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.

FAQ

What is the difference between AVEX and KTOS?

+

AEVEX Corp. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a defense technology company that specializes in affordable, high-performance systems the U.S. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.

Is AVEX or KTOS the better stock?

+

Neither is universally better. KTOS is the larger incumbent; AVEX is the smaller challenger and looks pricier on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.

Which is cheaper, AVEX or KTOS?

+

On forward P/E (as of August 2026), AVEX trades at 44.46x and KTOS at 42.71x, so KTOS is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.

Should you own both AVEX and KTOS?

+

Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.

What are the risks of AVEX vs KTOS?

+

AVEX: Customer concentration is the dominant exposure: roughly ~78% of revenue comes from government buyers, so a continuing resolution, a program cancellation or a reprioritization inside the unmanned systems budget can move a full year of results. The dual-class structure leaves Madison Dearborn Partners with about ~79% of the voting power, which means public holders have essentially no say on capital allocation, board composition or a future secondary sale that could pressure the share price. Valuation is demanding at roughly ~67x trailing earnings and about ~4x trailing revenue, a level that assumes multi-year procurement growth rather than the ~$600 million to ~$620 million guided for 2026. Order lumpiness is real, since a single production lot can swing a quarter and funded backlog of ~$356.6 million covers well under a year of revenue. And as a 2026 IPO with a limited public float, the stock has already ranged from about ~$13.07 to ~$42.34, so drawdowns unrelated to fundamentals should be expected. KTOS: Valuation is the dominant risk: with a triple-digit price-to-earnings ratio, the stock prices in years of sustained growth and any stumble can drive a sharp derating. Kratos depends on U.S. government budgets, appropriations timing and program-of-record decisions, all of which can slip or be cut. Many flagship programs (Valkyrie, hypersonics) are still scaling, so production, supply-chain and execution risk is real. Competition comes from far larger primes like Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman and RTX, plus focused drone makers, which can pressure pricing and win rates. Thin operating margins mean profitability remains modest even as revenue grows.

Related comparisons

Browse all stock comparisons.

Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell AVEX or KTOS; figures are approximate and dated (as of August 2026). Verify current data before investing.

    AVEX vs KTOS: How AEVEX Corp. and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Compare (2026) - Walnut AI Investing App