KTOS vs UMAC: How Kratos Defense & Security Solutions and Unusual Machines Compare (2026)
Last updated July 2026
Short answer
KTOS is the larger of the two ($8.53B market cap): the incumbent the market prices for continued execution (41.70x forward earnings, beta 1.07). UMAC is the smaller challenger ($955.40M), priced similarly on forward earnings (-99.95x): more room to run, but more to prove. The real question is which set of drivers you believe, and whether owning one (or both) leaves you over-concentrated.
KTOS vs UMAC: the tie-breaker metrics
Same yardstick, side by side (as of July 2026). Valuation lined up like this is most meaningful for two names in the same corner of the market, which these are. Figures are approximate; verify before investing.
| Metric | KTOS | UMAC | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $8.53B | $955.40M | Size. The larger name is the incumbent; the smaller has more room to grow and more to prove. |
| Forward P/E | 41.70 | -99.95 | Valuation on next year's expected earnings, the same yardstick for both. Lower is cheaper for that growth; higher means the market is paying up. |
| Beta | 1.07 | 14.78 | Volatility vs the market. Above 1 swings harder than the index; below 1 is steadier. Higher beta means bigger drawdowns to hold through. |
| Price vs 52-week range | 0% of range | 47% of range | Where today's price sits between the 52-week low and high. Near the high is momentum with less margin of safety; near the low is out of favor or a discount, depending on why. |
| Price / book | 2.50 | 2.88 | How much you pay over book value. Very high can signal an asset-light, high-return business or a rich price. |
Before you buy: how KTOS and UMAC affect your concentration
The metrics above tell you which is the marginally better business. The bigger risk for most people is not picking the slightly worse stock, it is over-concentrating. KTOS and UMAC share themes, so owning both, or adding either to what you already hold, can quietly push a large share of your portfolio into one bet.
This is the part a generic comparison page cannot answer, because it depends on what you own. Connect your brokerage and Walnut shows your real, combined KTOS and UMAC exposure, flags overlap with your existing positions, and tells you if adding one would tip you past a concentration you are comfortable with, read-only by default, with your login staying at your broker. Walnut is not an investment adviser.
What does Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) do?
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a defense technology company that specializes in affordable, high-performance systems the U.S. military wants to buy in volume. Its two segments are Unmanned Systems, home to the XQ-58 Valkyrie collaborative combat aircraft and other tactical drones and target drones, and Kratos Government Solutions, which spans hypersonic systems (Erinyes, Dark Fury), solid rocket motors, turbine and jet engines, microwave electronics, C5ISR, space, training and cyber. The common thread is being the low-cost, fast-to-field alternative to legacy prime contractors, which lines up with Pentagon demand for attritable, mass-producible hardware.
What does Unusual Machines (UMAC) do?
Unusual Machines makes drone components and consumer drone products, focusing on domestically manufactured motors, flight controllers and first-person-view parts intended to supply US drone builders.
KTOS vs UMAC: how do they differ?
Both fit overlapping themes, but they are not interchangeable. The useful comparison is which set of drivers and risks you want exposure to.
- KTOS drivers: Valkyrie and collaborative combat aircraft; Hypersonics, rockets and engines.
- UMAC drivers: Component supply rather than finished aircraft; Domestic sourcing requirements.
Which fits which kind of investor
A faster-growing, richer-valued name usually swings harder, so it suits a longer horizon and a higher tolerance for volatility; a steadier, more cash-generative business suits a more conservative or income-minded investor. The honest test is which set of risks you could hold through a drawdown: Valuation is the dominant risk: with a triple-digit price-to-earnings ratio, the stock prices in years of sustained growth and any stumble can drive a sharp derating. For UMAC, unusual Machines is a very small, loss-making company with limited revenue and a short operating history in its current form.
KTOS or UMAC: which should you pick?
Growth-minded investors who believe the theme has years to run tend to accept the richer multiple for more upside; value-minded investors lean toward the cheaper forward earnings and steadier profile. Pick KTOS if you believe its drivers more; UMAC if you believe its. Many investors hold both, but since they share themes, that is a concentrated bet, not diversification. Decide deliberately and check overlap. For the full detail, see the KTOS and UMAC guides.
KTOS vs UMAC: the full fundamentals
KTOS. As of the March 2026 quarter, Kratos posted about $371 million in Q1 revenue, up roughly 23 percent year over year, and raised full-year 2026 guidance toward $1.7 to $1.76 billion. Net income remains small, so with a market cap around $10 billion the price-to-earnings ratio sits in the hundreds and price-to-sales is roughly 7 times. The valuation reflects growth and backlog expectations far more than current earnings.
UMAC. Unusual Machines is an early-stage supplier whose case rests on policy-driven demand for domestic drone components rather than on current financial performance. Verify the current cash position, revenue and share count.
Headline figures (approximate, MARCH 2026): KTOS shows revenue (q1 2026) ~$371M, revenue (ttm) ~$1.4B, fy2026 revenue guidance ~$1.7B to $1.76B, adjusted ebitda (fy2025) ~$120M; UMAC shows business model Drone components: motors, flight controllers, FPV parts, scale Micro-cap, early revenue; verify current figures, thesis driver US restrictions on Chinese drone components, profitability Loss-making; verify cash runway.
The bottom line: KTOS vs UMAC
KTOS and UMAC are related but distinct: same themes, different businesses and risks. Neither wins in the abstract; the right pick is whichever thesis you actually believe, sized so you are not over-concentrated in one theme. Walnut can show your combined KTOS and UMAC exposure against your real portfolio. It is not an investment adviser.
Investing in Kratos Defense & Security Solutions with AI
Connect the broker you already use and ask Walnut's AI how KTOS fits what you actually hold: whether you own it already through a fund, what it would do to your concentration, and how it has tracked the S&P 500. Read-only by default, and you approve anything before it reaches your broker.
FAQ
What is the difference between KTOS and UMAC?
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Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a defense technology company that specializes in affordable, high-performance systems the U.S. Unusual Machines makes drone components and consumer drone products, focusing on domestically manufactured motors, flight controllers and first-person-view parts intended to supply US drone builders. They show up together because they share investment themes, but they are different businesses, so the better fit depends on which thesis you are expressing.
Is KTOS or UMAC the better stock?
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Neither is universally better. KTOS is the larger incumbent; UMAC is the smaller challenger and looks cheaper on forward earnings. Walnut is informational, not investment advice. Compare what each does, the tie-breaker metrics above, and the risks, then decide which fits your thesis and what you already own.
Which is cheaper, KTOS or UMAC?
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On forward P/E (as of July 2026), KTOS trades at 41.70x and UMAC at -99.95x, so UMAC is the cheaper of the two on next year's expected earnings. A lower multiple is not automatically the better buy: a richer valuation can be justified by faster growth, and a lower one can reflect real risk. Weigh the multiple against how fast each business is compounding.
Should you own both KTOS and UMAC?
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Because they share themes, owning both concentrates you in that theme. That can be intentional (a focused bet) or accidental (less diversification than it looks). Walnut can show your combined exposure across both, and whether adding either over-concentrates you, before you buy.
What are the risks of KTOS vs UMAC?
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KTOS: Valuation is the dominant risk: with a triple-digit price-to-earnings ratio, the stock prices in years of sustained growth and any stumble can drive a sharp derating. Kratos depends on U.S. government budgets, appropriations timing and program-of-record decisions, all of which can slip or be cut. Many flagship programs (Valkyrie, hypersonics) are still scaling, so production, supply-chain and execution risk is real. Competition comes from far larger primes like Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Northrop Grumman and RTX, plus focused drone makers, which can pressure pricing and win rates. Thin operating margins mean profitability remains modest even as revenue grows. UMAC: Unusual Machines is a very small, loss-making company with limited revenue and a short operating history in its current form. It depends on building domestic manufacturing capability that does not yet exist at scale, which is capital-intensive and unproven. It has funded itself through equity issuance. Share liquidity is limited and the price has been highly volatile. This is a speculative micro-cap.
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Walnut is informational, not investment advice. This page is descriptive and not a recommendation to buy or sell KTOS or UMAC; figures are approximate and dated (as of July 2026). Verify current data before investing.